Friday, February 26, 2016

Aliens, Who or What is Out There?



Sci-fi authors and have been inventive in creating all kinds of various aliens. From the alien in Alien with acid for blood that uses humans to gestate past the larva stage, to silicon based lifeforms in Star Trek such as the Tholians, to the giant bird like slash dinosaur creatures of Shipstar, to the Wookies of Star Wars. We can see that imagination knows no bounds, but what is the actuality that any of these aliens could in theory be real? Are they potentially realistic?



We now know that space is full of the key ingredients of life as we know it. First is water, think comets and Europa. Europa is a frozen water world moon of Jupiter and its speculated that Ganymede contains more water than the entire Earth! (see underground ocean on ganymede).  It’s also theorized that comets and asteroids delivered Earth’s water over the course of millions of years (see oceans arrived early on earth). Second is sugar. Sugar has been discovered out in space as well as other prebiotic molecular species such as amino acids (see prebiotic molecules and building blocks of life).

It’s no wonder our bodies are ~70% water, our DNA contains sugar, deoxyribose, and proteins are chains of amino acids; and proteins are produced by the genes embedded in out DNA. In fact, there have been meteorites found that contained off world amino acids, such as the Murchison meteorite and several others since then. Roughly 500 amino acids are thought to exit and Earthly biology uses 20 of them, 9 have to be ingested since they are not produced by our bodies.



Certainly DNA has been a successful molecule for storing and spreading information, it has dominated life on Earth, but is there another way for biology to spread information and ultimately for life to thrive? I am reminded of a Voyager episode where the crew discover a species known as 8472. It turns out species 8472’s DNA has a triple helix instead of the Earthly double helix of our own DNA. Is a triple helix DNA molecule possible? We know that DNA came from RNA, but where did RNA come from? When and where did it begin? These questions are outside the realm of Evolution and are concerned in the study of Abiogenesis (see Genesis by Robert Hazen).



It appears life exists in every niche on Earth, even in the most extreme environments. These Extremophiles are thought to be the first life on Earth, the Archaea if you will, and the reasoning goes if they can exist in such extreme places on earth then certainly they can be found in the various extreme conditions that space provides. Especially if space is pervasive in prebiotic molecules. Let us conduct a thought experiment using the proverbial Drake Equation to guesstimate the chances of intelligent life in our galaxy. It is as follows:

# of stars: 100 to 400 billion, so we’ll go with a conservative number at 200 billion

% of stars with planets: 0.6 to 0.9, it appears that star formation goes hand in hand with planet formation, but we’ll go with the conservative estimate at 0.6

% of planets in the habitable zone: around 1/100 according to the latest surveys

% of habitable planets with life: 0.5 is a good number because either a planet has life or doesn’t, but again we’ll go conservative here and guess at 1/100, we enter uncharted area here

% with intelligent life: totally unknown here so go conservative at 1/1000

200e9 * 0.6 * 1/100 * 1/100 * 1/1000 = 12,000

Wow that’s potentially 12 thousands planets in our galaxy with intelligent life on them!! We can adjust the values to develop a range with N being the number of planets with intelligent life. It comes out to be:

1e6 >= N >= 3000

So, we can have anywhere from 1 million to only 3 thousand, personally I think the 12 thousand is a pretty good number. So far, we only know of one planet with (supposedly) intelligent life on it.  Here on Earth we have several smart animals that can demonstrate a relatively higher intelligence. Namely, certain bird species such as magpies, crows and ravens, elephants, whales, dolphins, and certain species of dog. The smartest animals of course are our cousins, the great apes specifically chimpanzees and bonobos (we share ~95% of our DNA with them).



Star Trek has been criticized for having aliens humanoid and too human like, but I’m convinced that if intelligent life exists outside of our solar system, it would be humanoid in form (see aliens-will-look-a-lot-like-us). This argument was put forth by several scientists, one of them [University of Cambridge paleontologist] Simon Conway Morris even argued aliens would be as specific as being bipedal primates! Also, [Harvard University biologist] Ed Wilson argues for humanoid form. However, a number of scientists disagree such as, Josh Timonen of the Richard Dawkins Foundation. See will-e-t-look-like-us for the ongoing discussion. Also, is-there-any-plausible-reason



In general, I think the common thread that makes an animal smart is having a big brain, stereo vision, bilateral (but not necessarily bipedal), and dexterous appendages such as hands, etc. for tool use. These, I feel are the necessary characteristics for intelligent life, hence the humanoid form.  If these conclusions aren’t so far off base then maybe the aliens portrayed in sci-fi namely Star Trek and Star Wars give us a slight glimpse of what’s really out there!




No comments:

Post a Comment